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Victorian Election (excerpt from Crikey article)
Analysis / Politics
‘Twas a black night for the Victorian Libs, and a very ordinary night for independents
Matthew Guy has lost two elections to Dan Andrews, joining a pretty exclusive club of two-time losers. But independents were losers too.
STEPHEN MAYNE
NOV 28, 2022
Minor parties
Unlike 2018, when his minor party clients secured a record nine of the 40 upper house seats, Druery faced significant competition this time with the Coalition picking off the trio of Family First, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.
Druery also faced a rival progressive alliance put together by the Reason Party’s Fiona Patten, who pulled off a masterstroke with the last-minute October 13 registration of Legalise Cannabis Victoria as a feeder party. The feed turned into a preferences feast as the start-up party polled a staggering upper house primary vote averaging almost 5% across the eight regions.
Legalise Cannabis looks like it will achieve the 16.66% quota and win a seat in the Western Metro region — as well as potentially in South-East Metro, based on Antony Green’s projections. But Patten’s history of dealing with the Andrews government also came to the fore this election, with Legalise Cannabis’ preferences pivotal in delivering Labor vital second seats in each of the Eastern Victoria and Southern Metropolitan regions where it traditionally polls poorly.
Analysis / Politics
‘Twas a black night for the Victorian Libs, and a very ordinary night for independents
Matthew Guy has lost two elections to Dan Andrews, joining a pretty exclusive club of two-time losers. But independents were losers too.
STEPHEN MAYNE
NOV 28, 2022
Minor parties
Unlike 2018, when his minor party clients secured a record nine of the 40 upper house seats, Druery faced significant competition this time with the Coalition picking off the trio of Family First, Pauline Hanson’s One Nation and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party.
Druery also faced a rival progressive alliance put together by the Reason Party’s Fiona Patten, who pulled off a masterstroke with the last-minute October 13 registration of Legalise Cannabis Victoria as a feeder party. The feed turned into a preferences feast as the start-up party polled a staggering upper house primary vote averaging almost 5% across the eight regions.
Legalise Cannabis looks like it will achieve the 16.66% quota and win a seat in the Western Metro region — as well as potentially in South-East Metro, based on Antony Green’s projections. But Patten’s history of dealing with the Andrews government also came to the fore this election, with Legalise Cannabis’ preferences pivotal in delivering Labor vital second seats in each of the Eastern Victoria and Southern Metropolitan regions where it traditionally polls poorly.
